He is nowhere near my first pick, but since no one has him yet, I'll say Webb Simpson, -13
I think putting doesn't matter too much, but closing ability does. The putting is negated because everyone has to putt defensively there.
If I was putting money down, I'd like Bubba, Bryson, Rose, Molinari, Fleetwood.
In the category of poor closers, I put Casey, Hoffman, and Rory, despite all having won recently.
It's funny that when you look at the tee sheets, there are not that many likely winners. If you know what I mean. It's not like a typical huge field of evenly qualified guys. Cross out the ams and the seniors and the flukes, and there's only a couple of dozen worthy of picking.