rsvman2
Ironically, or maybe unironically, when you look at the actual number proudced by 2-out-of-417 it comes out almost exactly the same as the Pfizer trial finding where only 200 people out of 43,448 were CONFIRMED infected.
Percentage from this study based on 2/417= 0.00479616306
Percentage from the Pfizer study based on 200/43.448= 0.00460320382
The difference is the top number only counted fully-vaccinateds.
The bottom was weighted overwhelmingly on control arm.
Quick math shows 1.6 million breakthroughs based on 330 million pop... IF this COHORT study is true everywhere. Such a small small sample size. And in the real world there are new variants each and every day, so those numbers will look worse and worse minus a working intervention.
EDIT: Doc, you know they're doing many studies, and undoubtedly they've chosen the one most flattering to the idea..YOU NEED THE JAB! Where's the study on this one? 22 out of???? Doesn't want to tell you because it's much higher than 2 out of 417. Again, 417 is a TINY sample. Do that study in 100 different places, get 100 different results. People don't or can't or won't do referendum thinking. They hear the study of 2 out of 417 and think that's the ratio everywhere and forever. No. Not how it works.
from NYT:
Plus, the 2 out of 417 was conducted on mostly STUDENTS. I wonder why they didn't choose the nursing home instead? Oh, right...wouldn't want to bias the findings the wrong way...but the other way? Hot dog! Let's find us some young'uns and then put this out and EVERYONE will think that ratio applies to them!